Week49 MacroTechnicals Six-Seven
We were on six, now seven! 🤲🤲 Is there fuel for an eighth?
Trading Strategy - TrendX
Trend Exhaustion Indicator
Week48 MacroTechnicals - Basing for a year-end rally
US data stays resilient; December FOMC is finely balanced with members expressing more caution. Rough week for Equities but may stabilise if volatility eases from here. Safe-haven flows supported Treasuries and USD causing distortions in rate differentials requiring careful evaluation.
Week47 MacroTechnicals- Bullish but doubtful
A revival in risk is at the mercy of NVDA earnings. Aside that, I don't see what bullish arguments can be made...
Week46 MacroTechnicals - Buy Everything
Buy everything! But beware of higher rates too.
Week45 MacroTechnicals - Tailwinds become Headwinds
Big news. Conventional wisdom would say this is massively risk-on - 1) a swift reversal in all retaliatory measures may have come as a slight surprise, and 2) the 1-year truce will now lift a huge veil of uncertainty that has weighed on economic activity for the majority of 2025.
Week44 MacroTechnicals - Relative Exceptionalism
Trump, China, and trade - why this will be the overriding driver of markets and likely to extend the bull run in risk. Returning to a popular USD framework. A longer-term thesis for the USD. Game plan
Week43 MacroTechnicals - Flippage
Flippage - Was bearish risk this time last week, but a TACO headline and Trump confirming the meeting with Xi would go ahead to result in trade tensions simmering down till the end of the month, as well as how the charts have evolved over the last week has shifted my view on risk.
Week42 MacroTechnicals - Volmageddon-esque?
A Volmageddon-esque Setup?
Week41 MacroTechnicals - Eye on Real Rates
Pay close attention to real-rates...
Week40 MacroTechnicals - Expectations Collidies With Shifting Macro
Market expectations are colliding with shifting economic data, policy uncertainty, and geopolitical risks that together, may well set the tone for the weeks ahead.
Week39 MacroTechnicals - It's All Good, Perhaps A Bit Too much
Seasonal volatility never came, stocks are raging higher, fed delivered a cut, economic data has been good. Strange as it may sound, I think the biggest risks to all of those is that the good times keeps rolling on further that would prompt a tightening response in the rates market.